Street Games (A mathematical approach?)

[Grimm357]

I'm going to be concise and short with this post.

I became curious as to how to maximize control over the Street Games. Probability & Statistics is an ugly/beautiful thing.

My goal was/is to find out which numerical values are most likely to be rolled with 6 dice. Once I obtained this (hopefully valid) information, I decided to apply it by only gambling in the Street Games when most (or all) of the best prizes fall on number totals that are more likely to occur.

I found a handy site called: anydice.com

I used "output 6d6" (Six, six-sided dice are rolled)

Not entirely sure how accurate the results are since the odds of rolling a total of 6 with all 6 dice comes out to 0.0%...

20-22 yield the highest roll total probability, 17-25 being the overall best numbers to have top prizes on when rolling in the SG.

PLEASE NOTE: I will be the first to say these results may not be 100%, but I do not think they are completely false.


Thoughts? I doubt I am the first to try this or implement such an idea. Did anyone else do this?

[Prinny]

In theory the board of the streetgames says enough.
18-20 and 21-23 being able to occur the most with 6 and 36 occurirng the least.
I've found that my rolls end up on the high side though so it's more like the 21+ rolls happen more often but as I have gathered no actual data on this, meh :p
The fun thing about gambling is that although theoretical knowledge helps, it isn't fully practical hence even if there is a 0.1% chance to win the game that still means it could happen although statistically speaking it's nearly impossible.

Heck I've rolled 3 Yahtzee's in a row one time and the chance of even rolling one in 1 throw is nearly impossible xD

[Narol]

Raw numbers

# %
6 0.00 (0.002%)

7 0.01

8 0.05

9 0.12

10 0.27

11 0.54

12 0.98

13 1.62

14 2.49

15 3.57

16 4.82

17 6.12

18 7.35

19 8.37

20 9.05

21 9.28

22 9.05

23 8.37

24 7.35

25 6.12

26 4.82

27 3.57

28 2.49

29 1.62

30 0.98

31 0.54

32 0.27

33 0.12

34 0.05

35 0.01

36 0.00 (0.002%)

[Grimm357]

We can all agree that 17-25 are the best stastical rolls for the more desirable prizes. However I noticed that such prizes like mass quantities of trophies always fall on numbers with the smallest roll chance.

[Prinny]

Pretty sure that's because the best prizes are supposed to be the most rare :p
Some people have already won a premium slave and big batches of trophies. I've won a couple of oranges myself.